Phrase by 'Herman Kahn'

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In 1960 I published a book that attempted to direct attention to the possibility of a thermonuclear war, to ways of reducing the likelihood of such a war, and to methods for coping with the consequences should war occur despite our efforts to avoid it.

Author: Herman Kahn - American Scientist
  Book , War , Attention , Consequences


For some years I have spent my time on exactly these questions - both in thinking about ways to prevent war, and in thinking about how to fight, survive, and terminate a war, should it occur.

Author: Herman Kahn - American Scientist
  Time , Thinking , War , Fight


Many people believe that the current system must inevitably end in total annihilation. They reject, sometimes very emotionally, any attempts to analyze this notion.

Author: Herman Kahn - American Scientist
  Sometimes , People , End , Believe


Human and moral factors must always be considered. They must never be missing from policies and from public discussion.

Author: Herman Kahn - American Scientist
  Moral , Always , Never , Missing


In a world which is armed to its teeth with nuclear weapons, every quarrel or difference of opinion may lead to violence of a kind quite different from what is possible today.

Author: Herman Kahn - American Scientist
  World , Today , Opinion , Violence


Hopefully, nations will refuse to accept a situation in which nuclear accidents actually do occur, and, if at all possible, they will do something to correct a system which makes them likely.

Author: Herman Kahn - American Scientist
  Will , Accept , Situation , Accidents


To the extent that these advanced weapons or their components are treated as articles of commerce, perhaps for peaceful uses as in the Plowshare program, their cost would be well within the resources available to many large private organizations.

Author: Herman Kahn - American Scientist
  Well , Within , Peaceful , Commerce


The widespread diffusion of nuclear weapons would make many nations able, and in some cases also create the pressure, to aggravate an on-going crisis, or even touch off a war between two other powers for purposes of their own.

Author: Herman Kahn - American Scientist
  Own , War , Touch , Pressure


A total nuclear freeze is counterproductive - especially now, when technology is rapidly changing and the Soviets have some important strategic advantages.

Author: Herman Kahn - American Scientist
  Important , Some , Technology , Freeze


My guess is that nuclear weapons will be used sometime in the next hundred years, but that their use is much more likely to be small and limited than widespread and unconstrained.

Author: Herman Kahn - American Scientist
  More , Next , Will , Small


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